Ethnography: The New Hampshire Primary - 2020
Ethnography:
The New Hampshire Primary - 2020
The New Hampshire Presidential Primary was held on Tuesday, Feb. 11th
2020 and I traveled to Manchester, NH, on February 9th and 10th.
I previously observed New Hampshire Primaries in Manchester in 1992, 1996,
2000, 2008, 2012 and 2016. Manchester is the largest city in the state and is
where the national media and most of the campaigns are headquartered. Manchester,
in the days leading up to the primary, provides an inexact and informal glimpse
into presidential candidates and national political trends.
I visited the Manchester campaign offices of Bernie Sanders, Pete Buttagieg,
Andrew Yang and Elizabeth Warren and I hung out at the Doubletree Hotel which
serves as an informal headquarters for the national and Boston media. I drove Uber
passengers on both days and in that capacity I spoke with local Manchester
citizens, most of whom seemed oblivious to the political goings on in their
city, and media figures who offered me a great deal of inside information. I drove
the nephew of candidate Tom Stryer, who was serving as his campaign coordinator.
My conversation with him revealed strategies and memes that Democrats will likely
employ against President Trump in the general election.
The Bernie Sanders office staff was serious and determined, quiet and focused.
The atmosphere in his office was one of confidence and calm. One of the
volunteers described to me in detail their ground game strategy and how they
were canvassing door to door. Sanders positions are clear and are well known. Sanders
people were hard at work and I sensed that they were going to win, although,
the office generally lacked the energy and enthusiasm of 2016, the year Sanders
achieved a major New Hampshire victory even though all the delegates went to
Hillary Clinton. Perhaps the Sanders campaign, having been previously ripped
off by the Democratic Party, was a bit cynical, perhaps a bit wary and jaded.
The Elizabeth Warren office was spare and looked threadbare and the few
volunteers who were there and who were tugging in seemed demoralized and
depressed. The general attitude among Democrats I spoke with in other
campaign offices and on the street was that Warren is despised and, to toss in a
bot of editorial commentary, for good reason. In all my years of coming to New
Hampshire primaries, My opinion: I have never witnessed a more disreputable presidential
candidate and a phonier person running for President than Elizabeth Warren.
The Pete Buttagieg staff seemed motivated
but confused in terms of how to answer questions about his positions. I didn’t
get much of a sense of who Buttagieg is or why I should support him. On the
wall of the Buttigieg office was photos of Buttagieg, his boyfriend or husband,
and, presumably, two of their dogs. I got the same sense from Buttagieg that I got
from Barack Obama when I visited Manchester during the primary in 2008. He
looks good, he sounds intelligent, he came out of nowhere and he says little of
substance but he does so with elegance and a phony intellectual accent. Like
Obama, Buttegieg has a nice smile. This worked for Obama but I’m not sure this same
trick will work for Buttagieg, at least I hope not. Like Obama, Buttegieg poses
as a moderate and garners conservative cross-over support. Buttagieg, however,
lacks Obama’s chrisma and cult following, at least outside the gay community,
and I don’t sense that even they are all that enthusiastic about him.
Andrew Yang had strong and even passionate support both from his office staff
and from people walking in off the street. Yang appears to be not as vague or
as slippery as Buttagieg and, I suspect, a lot of his supporters will end up
supporting President Trump after he drops out. For the same reason that
Buttagieg had high numbers of gay people in his office, Yang had a good number
of Asians in his. Democratic candidates, and their electorate, often promote
and exploit identity politics which is a problem for Biden and an even bigger
problem for the faux Native American Warren. Joe Biden and is followers were virtually invisible and he was never mentioned. I saw one bumper sticker and
that is all. I witnessed Amy Klobacher get on her bus of green festooned with
as giant AMY.
The real rock star of the New Hampshire primary
this year, by any objective estimation, and the candidate who captured the
lions share of the energy, was undoubtedly President Trump who held a rally at
the SNHU Center on the Monday before the Tuesday vote. While I didn’t attend
the rally itself, I observed the goings on outside and at the Doubletree Hotel
which was the media center nearby. Trump supporters were out in force, both at
the rally and on the street both days that I was there with their handmade
signs and their carts of merchandise. They possessed an air of subversive
excitement. To quote the King in the Pogo Comic: The
peasants are revolting!
In the lead-up to the Trump rally, streets were closed and people were streaming in like they were going to Woodstock. The atmosphere was festive and
stood in stark contrast to the scowling media figures prowling around at the
virtually empty Doubletree. A few straggling anti-Trumpers stood on the periphery
of the rally holding vulgar and obscene signs while the liberal media doyens inside
the empty hotel muttered obscenities as they sipped their Chablis and drowned
their sorrows by gorging themselves in Fois Gras and other indescribable food
popular with liberal types.
My general impression of the Trump supporters
was that they can be a bit rough around the edges, unfashionable according to
liberal standards, but they are genuinely sincere and well-meaning working people.
My impression is that the mainstream liberal media falsely portrays the Trump
supporters, and President Trump himself as somehow hateful. I saw no evidence
of this.
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